Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warrington Town win with a probability of 60.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Southport had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Warrington Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Warrington Town | Draw | Southport |
60.35% ( 4.73) | 21.65% ( -1.6) | 18% ( -3.14) |
Both teams to score 52.55% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.13% ( 2.46) | 44.86% ( -2.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.78% ( 2.32) | 67.22% ( -2.33) |
Warrington Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.57% ( 2.42) | 14.43% ( -2.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.64% ( 4.5) | 42.36% ( -4.51) |
Southport Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.41% ( -1.93) | 38.58% ( 1.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.67% ( -1.89) | 75.33% ( 1.88) |
Score Analysis |
Warrington Town | Draw | Southport |
1-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.92) 3-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.58) 4-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.67) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.51) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.18) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.34) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.28) Other @ 2.7% Total : 60.34% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.78) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.61) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.65% | 0-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.9) 1-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.65) 0-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.59) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.23% Total : 18% |
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