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National League North | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Haig Avenue

Southport
0 - 4
Warrington Town

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Williams (45+1'), Duffy (49'), Soloman Cheidu Dixon (59'), Buckley-Ricketts (85')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Warrington Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leamington 2-1 Southport
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gateshead 2-0 Warrington Town
Sunday, December 7 at 12pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warrington Town win with a probability of 51.33%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Southport had a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Warrington Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Southport win it was 1-0 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Warrington Town would win this match.

Result
SouthportDrawWarrington Town
24.26% (0.65 0.65) 24.4% (0.243 0.24) 51.33% (-0.895 -0.89)
Both teams to score 52.93% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.11% (-0.408 -0.41)48.88% (0.408 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.02% (-0.371 -0.37)70.98% (0.371 0.37)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.38% (0.351 0.35)34.62% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65% (0.369 0.37)71.34% (-0.369 -0.37)
Warrington Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.96% (-0.506 -0.51)19.04% (0.505 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.38% (-0.847 -0.85)50.61% (0.845 0.84)
Score Analysis
    Southport 24.26%
    Warrington Town 51.33%
    Draw 24.4%
SouthportDrawWarrington Town
1-0 @ 6.99% (0.182 0.18)
2-1 @ 6.15% (0.121 0.12)
2-0 @ 3.71% (0.13 0.13)
3-1 @ 2.18% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.31% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 24.26%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.59% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 10.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.62% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 9.07% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-3 @ 5.32% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-3 @ 5.01% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.21% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-4 @ 2.08% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 51.33%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Leamington 2-1 Southport
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-3 Kidderminster
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-3 Spennymoor
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 3-2 Southport
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-2 Chester
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 2-0 Southport
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gateshead 2-0 Warrington Town
Sunday, December 7 at 12pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Warrington Town 1-0 Exeter
Friday, November 7 at 7.55pm in FA Cup


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