SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
42.55% ( -0.15) | 24.76% ( 0.01) | 32.7% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.71% ( -0.02) | 45.29% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.37% ( -0.02) | 67.63% ( 0.02) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.67% ( -0.08) | 21.33% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.72% ( -0.12) | 54.28% ( 0.12) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.42% ( 0.07) | 26.58% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.2% ( 0.09) | 61.79% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 42.55% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.75% | 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 32.7% |
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