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National League North | Gameweek 33
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Haig Avenue

Southport
3 - 1
Brackley Town

Flowers (85'), Hmami (88'), Archer (90+3')
Carver (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Newton (12')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Brackley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southport 1-2 Spennymoor
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 Darlington
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 52.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Southport had a probability of 21.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.43%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Southport win it was 1-0 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
SouthportDrawBrackley Town
21.76% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 25.67% (0.012 0.01) 52.56% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Both teams to score 46.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.89% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)56.1% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.82% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)77.17% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)41.02% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.43% (0.004999999999999 0)77.57% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.6% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)21.39% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.61% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)54.38% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Southport 21.76%
    Brackley Town 52.56%
    Draw 25.66%
SouthportDrawBrackley Town
1-0 @ 7.82% (0.008 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.37% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 3.49% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.6%
3-2 @ 1.23%
3-0 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 21.76%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 8.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 13.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.43%
1-2 @ 9.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 5.36% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-4 @ 2.07% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 52.56%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Southport 1-2 Spennymoor
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 3-0 Southport
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 2-3 Alfreton
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 2-0 Darlington
Tuesday, January 9 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 2-2 Southport
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 0-3 Curzon Ashton
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 Darlington
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 0-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bishop's Stortford 1-2 Brackley Town
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 2-0 Scunthorpe
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 0-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 3-1 Banbury
Monday, January 1 at 1pm in National League North


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