SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slough Town win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slough Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Aveley win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slough Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aveley | Draw | Slough Town |
33.65% ( -0.32) | 23.92% ( 0.01) | 42.43% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 61.07% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.89% ( -0.14) | 41.11% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.49% ( -0.15) | 63.5% ( 0.14) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.98% ( -0.25) | 24.01% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.72% ( -0.36) | 58.27% ( 0.36) |
| Slough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.37% ( 0.08) | 19.63% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.41% ( 0.13) | 51.59% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aveley | Draw | Slough Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.9% Total : 33.65% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.16% Total : 42.43% |
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