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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aveley | Draw | Bath City |
33.63% ( 0.13) | 25.82% ( -0.13) | 40.55% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 54.42% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.25% ( 0.58) | 49.75% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.24% ( 0.52) | 71.75% ( -0.52) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.83% ( 0.36) | 28.16% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.15% ( 0.46) | 63.85% ( -0.46) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.76% ( 0.26) | 24.24% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.41% ( 0.37) | 58.59% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aveley | Draw | Bath City |
| 1-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.63% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.24% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.87% Total : 40.55% |
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