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MU
National League South
Apr 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Gallagher Stadium

Maidstone
2 - 1
Aveley

Rush (62'), Fall (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ogunrinde (27')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Maidstone United and Aveley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maidstone 5-1 Hampton
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-0 Bath City
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 53.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Aveley had a probability of 21.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for an Aveley win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.

Result
Maidstone UnitedDrawAveley
53.57% (-0.254 -0.25) 24.54% (0.032 0.03) 21.88% (0.217 0.22)
Both teams to score 49.72% (0.182 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25% (0.096999999999994 0.1)51.75% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (0.083000000000002 0.08)73.52% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Maidstone United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)19.26% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.01% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)50.98% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.58% (0.27 0.27)38.42% (-0.275 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.83% (0.258 0.26)75.17% (-0.26400000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Maidstone United 53.56%
    Aveley 21.88%
    Draw 24.53%
Maidstone UnitedDrawAveley
1-0 @ 12.18% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 10.03% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.51% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 53.56%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.4% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 24.53%
0-1 @ 7.08% (0.024 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.58% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.39% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 21.88%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Maidstone 5-1 Hampton
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 3-1 Maidstone
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 2-0 Weymouth
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 0-1 Maidstone
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 0-1 Maidstone
Wednesday, April 3 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 1-1 Welling United
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-0 Bath City
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 1-2 Aveley
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 1-1 Aveley
Saturday, April 6 at 7.30pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 1-2 Havant & W'ville
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 3-4 Aveley
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-1 St Albans City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South


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