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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 24.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aveley | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
50.94% ( -0.65) | 24.32% ( 0.32) | 24.74% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 53.69% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.88% ( -1.06) | 48.12% ( 1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.72% ( -0.98) | 70.28% ( 0.99) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.1% ( -0.66) | 18.9% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.61% ( -1.11) | 50.39% ( 1.11) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.2% ( -0.29) | 33.79% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.54% ( -0.32) | 70.46% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aveley | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
| 1-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.18% Total : 50.94% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.28% Total : 24.74% |
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