Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.