National League South | Gameweek 3

Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Ironmongery Direct Stadium

Braintree
3 - 1
Hemel Hempstead

Blair (32', 49'), Clemons (68')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Obi (43')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Braintree Town and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braintree Town would win this match.

Result
Braintree Town	Draw	Hemel Hempstead Town
38.17% ( 0.26)	26.53% ( 0.07)	35.3% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 52.39% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.52% (

-0.31)

52.48% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.85% (

-0.27)

74.15% (

0.26)

Braintree Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.22% (

26.77% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.94% (

0.01)

62.05% (

-0.01)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.54% (

-0.35)

28.45% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.78% (

-0.44)

64.21% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

Braintree Town 38.16%

Hemel Hempstead Town 35.3%

Draw 26.52%

Braintree Town	Draw	Hemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.16%	1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.3%