Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 50.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bath City had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Bath City win it was 1-0 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
