Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bath City in this match.
