SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-0 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Farnborough Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bath City | Draw | Farnborough Town |
27.64% ( 0.04) | 24.49% ( -0.05) | 47.87% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.78% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.39% ( 0.26) | 46.6% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.12% ( 0.25) | 68.87% ( -0.25) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.33% ( 0.16) | 30.67% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.08% ( 0.2) | 66.92% ( -0.2) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% ( 0.11) | 19.54% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.55% ( 0.18) | 51.45% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bath City | Draw | Farnborough Town |
| 1-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.65% ( 0)Other @ 3% Total : 27.64% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.14% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.35% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.03% Total : 47.87% |
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