SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Welling United win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Farnborough Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Welling United | Draw | Farnborough Town |
31.34% ( 0.11) | 23.93% ( -0.01) | 44.73% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 60.1% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.02% ( 0.08) | 41.97% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.62% ( 0.08) | 64.37% ( -0.08) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.19% ( 0.11) | 25.8% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.23% ( 0.15) | 60.76% ( -0.15) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% ( -0.01) | 19% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.45% ( -0.02) | 50.55% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Welling United | Draw | Farnborough Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.34% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0)Other @ 3.33% Total : 44.73% |
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