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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 37.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bath City | Draw | Worthing |
37.04% ( 0.39) | 25.56% ( 0.11) | 37.4% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 55.78% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.8% ( -0.51) | 48.2% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.65% ( -0.47) | 70.35% ( 0.47) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.59% ( -0.02) | 25.41% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.78% ( -0.03) | 60.22% ( 0.03) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.78% ( -0.51) | 25.21% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.05% ( -0.71) | 59.95% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bath City | Draw | Worthing |
| 1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.04% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.73% Total : 37.4% |
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