SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Bath City win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braintree Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braintree Town | Draw | Bath City |
40.65% ( 0.02) | 26.11% ( 0.01) | 33.24% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.37% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.94% ( -0.03) | 51.06% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.08% ( -0.03) | 72.92% ( 0.03) |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.22% ( -0) | 24.78% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.65% ( -0) | 59.35% ( 0.01) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.95% ( -0.04) | 29.05% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.04% ( -0.05) | 64.96% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braintree Town | Draw | Bath City |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.03% 3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 40.65% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.24% |
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