SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Salisbury had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Salisbury win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bath City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bath City | Draw | Salisbury |
44.49% ( 0.05) | 25.77% ( -0.03) | 29.73% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.01% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.13% ( 0.09) | 50.87% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.25% ( 0.08) | 72.75% ( -0.08) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.21% ( 0.06) | 22.79% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.5% ( 0.1) | 56.5% ( -0.1) |
| Salisbury Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.66% ( 0.03) | 31.34% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.29% ( 0.03) | 67.71% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bath City | Draw | Salisbury |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.81% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 44.49% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.73% |
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