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National League South | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Clarence Park

St Albans City
3 - 2
Bath City

Jeffers (61'), Lench (64' og.), Greenslade (72' og.)
Partington (25'), Rasulo (45'), Longe-King (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Russe (38'), Wanjau-Smith (74')
Grimes (41'), Wilson (58'), Tillson (67'), Russe (70')
Coverage of the National League South clash between St Albans City and Bath City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bath City 1-1 Weymouth
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Bath City win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.

Result
St Albans CityDrawBath City
42.2% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01) 25.02% (0.0020000000000024 0) 32.78% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)46.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)68.76% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)22% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.69% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)55.31% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.89% (0.0019999999999953 0)27.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.51% (0.0039999999999978 0)62.49% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    St Albans City 42.2%
    Bath City 32.78%
    Draw 25.02%
St Albans CityDrawBath City
1-0 @ 9.03%
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 42.2%
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 5.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 7.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 7.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.08% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 32.78%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Slough 2-2 St Albans City
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Welling United
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 0-1 St Albans City
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 3-4 Salisbury
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Gorleston 4-2 St Albans City
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-1 St Albans City
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 1-1 Weymouth
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 0-0 Bath City
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aldershot 2-1 Bath City
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chesham 0-1 Bath City
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Salisbury 1-2 Bath City
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bath City 0-1 Enfield Town
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South


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