SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Salisbury had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Salisbury win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bath City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Salisbury | Draw | Bath City |
35.55% ( 0.01) | 24.91% ( 0.01) | 39.53% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.95% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.65% ( -0.03) | 45.35% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.31% ( -0.03) | 67.69% ( 0.02) |
| Salisbury Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.08% ( -0.01) | 24.92% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.45% ( -0.01) | 59.55% ( 0.01) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.19% ( -0.02) | 22.81% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.48% ( -0.03) | 56.52% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salisbury | Draw | Bath City |
| 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.76% 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.55% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.91% | 1-2 @ 8.63% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.21% 1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 39.53% |
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