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National League South | Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Raymond McEnhill Stadium

Salisbury
2 - 2
Hornchurch

Hedges (21'), Fasanmade (82')
McCreadie (39'), Leggett (45+1'), Wilkinson (73'), Elliott-Wheeler (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Saunders (40'), Kashket (90+6')
Phillips (52')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Salisbury and AFC Hornchurch.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Albans City 3-4 Salisbury
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dorking 3-1 Hornchurch
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Salisbury had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Salisbury win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
SalisburyDrawAFC Hornchurch
34.45% (0.161 0.16) 24.25% (0.069000000000003 0.07) 41.31% (-0.229 -0.23)
Both teams to score 60.12% (-0.205 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.56% (-0.289 -0.29)42.44% (0.29 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.16% (-0.288 -0.29)64.84% (0.289 0.29)
Salisbury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.81% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)24.19% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.48% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)58.52% (0.064 0.06)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.3% (-0.227 -0.23)20.69% (0.229 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (-0.358 -0.36)53.29% (0.358 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Salisbury 34.45%
    AFC Hornchurch 41.31%
    Draw 24.24%
SalisburyDrawAFC Hornchurch
2-1 @ 7.94% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.1% (0.082 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.04% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.76% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.39% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 34.45%
1-1 @ 11.19% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.01% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.89% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.21% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.63% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.29% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.26% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 41.31%

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Form Guide
Last Game: St Albans City 3-4 Salisbury
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Salisbury 1-2 Bath City
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Salisbury 3-2 Chippenham
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: AFC Stoneham 1-7 Salisbury
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Farnborough 3-1 Salisbury
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Salisbury 1-2 Chesham
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dorking 3-1 Hornchurch
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 1-3 Leiston
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Leiston 1-1 Hornchurch
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Hornchurch 0-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 2-1 Hashtag United
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Worthing 0-0 Hornchurch
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South


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