SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braintree Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braintree Town | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
43.49% ( -0.62) | 26.35% ( 0.15) | 30.17% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 51.43% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.98% ( -0.38) | 53.02% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.39% ( -0.33) | 74.61% ( 0.33) |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.79% ( -0.47) | 24.21% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.45% ( -0.67) | 58.56% ( 0.67) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.87% ( 0.14) | 32.14% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.38% ( 0.16) | 68.62% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braintree Town | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.65% Total : 43.48% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.71% Total : 30.17% |
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