SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Aveley |
43.14% ( 3.25) | 24.55% ( 0.14) | 32.3% ( -3.39) |
| Both teams to score 58.32% ( -1.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.5% ( -1.5) | 44.49% ( 1.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.13% ( -1.47) | 66.86% ( 1.47) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.28% ( 0.88) | 20.72% ( -0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.66% ( 1.36) | 53.33% ( -1.36) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.56% ( -2.68) | 26.44% ( 2.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.39% ( -3.71) | 61.61% ( 3.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Aveley |
| 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.37) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.76)2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.76)3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.31)3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.48)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.22)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 43.15% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.22)0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.35)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.55% | 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.49) 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.45)1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.51)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.32)0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.39)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.27)Other @ 3.21% Total : 32.3% |
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