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H&
National League South | Gameweek 14
Oct 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Westleigh Park

Havant & W'ville
1 - 4
Aveley

Fall (8')
Bonner (83')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Vaz (20'), Gibbs (35'), Hughes (57'), Hernandez (80')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Havant & Waterlooville and Aveley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dartford 2-0 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 1-1 Truro City
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Havant & WaterloovilleDrawAveley
43.14% (3.245 3.25) 24.55% (0.142 0.14) 32.3% (-3.387 -3.39)
Both teams to score 58.32% (-1.456 -1.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.5% (-1.497 -1.5)44.49% (1.498 1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.13% (-1.466 -1.47)66.86% (1.466 1.47)
Havant & Waterlooville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.28% (0.877 0.88)20.72% (-0.876 -0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.66% (1.36 1.36)53.33% (-1.361 -1.36)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.56% (-2.678 -2.68)26.44% (2.679 2.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39% (-3.705 -3.71)61.61% (3.705 3.71)
Score Analysis
    Havant & Waterlooville 43.15%
    Aveley 32.3%
    Draw 24.55%
Havant & WaterloovilleDrawAveley
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.367 0.37)
1-0 @ 8.62% (0.759 0.76)
2-0 @ 6.79% (0.76 0.76)
3-1 @ 4.74% (0.312 0.31)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.482 0.48)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.169 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.4% (0.221 0.22)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 43.15%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.01% (-0.218 -0.22)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.347 0.35)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.55%
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.491 -0.49)
0-1 @ 7.29% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.85% (-0.452 -0.45)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.507 -0.51)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.319 -0.32)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.389 -0.39)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.272 -0.27)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 32.3%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dartford 2-0 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-2 Hampton
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 0-0 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-3 Truro City
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-2 Eastbourne
Wednesday, September 6 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-0 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 1-1 Truro City
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Yeovil 3-1 Aveley
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 1-1 Braintree
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 2-0 Aveley
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 0-1 Aveley
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South


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