SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braintree Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Braintree Town |
34.88% ( 0.04) | 26.43% ( 0.02) | 38.69% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.66% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.88% ( -0.07) | 52.11% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.16% ( -0.06) | 73.84% ( 0.06) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.46% ( -0.01) | 28.54% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.67% ( -0.01) | 64.32% ( 0.01) |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.69% ( -0.06) | 26.31% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.56% ( -0.09) | 61.44% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Braintree Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.29% 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.68% Total : 34.88% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.69% |
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