SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.38%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Truro City win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Truro City |
39.08% ( -1.13) | 24.1% ( -0.28) | 36.83% ( 1.41) |
| Both teams to score 61.07% ( 1.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.63% ( 1.49) | 41.37% ( -1.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.23% ( 1.5) | 63.77% ( -1.5) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.71% ( 0.11) | 21.29% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.78% ( 0.16) | 54.22% ( -0.16) |
| Truro City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.59% ( 1.43) | 22.41% ( -1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.07% ( 2.1) | 55.93% ( -2.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Truro City |
| 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.48)2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.36)3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.69% Total : 39.08% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.33)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.09% | 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.83% |
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