Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 52.84%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.
