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National League South | Gameweek 18
Dec 26, 2021 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Stadium
BT

Chelmsford City
3 - 0
Braintree

Jackson (14', 28'), Blackwell (32')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Braintree Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawBraintree Town
43.78%24.98%31.24%
Both teams to score 56.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.19%46.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.94%69.07%
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.6%21.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.6%54.4%
Braintree Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75%28.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04%63.96%
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 43.78%
    Braintree Town 31.24%
    Draw 24.97%
Chelmsford CityDrawBraintree Town
1-0 @ 9.32%
2-1 @ 9.08%
2-0 @ 7.19%
3-1 @ 4.67%
3-0 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 2.95%
4-1 @ 1.8%
4-0 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 43.78%
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 6.05%
2-2 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 7.64%
1-2 @ 7.45%
0-2 @ 4.83%
1-3 @ 3.14%
2-3 @ 2.42%
0-3 @ 2.04%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 31.24%

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