Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 55.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Braintree Town had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Braintree Town win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.