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National League South | Gameweek 16
Jan 2, 2021 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Stadium
BT

Chelmsford City
4 - 2
Braintree

Sheringham (55'), Wraight (60'), James (64'), Morgan (71' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Olomowewe (18'), Derry (40')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Braintree Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 55.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Braintree Town had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Braintree Town win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawBraintree Town
55.48%22.79%21.72%
Both teams to score 54.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.34%44.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.98%67.02%
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.05%15.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.77%45.23%
Braintree Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.41%34.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.69%71.31%
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 55.48%
    Braintree Town 21.72%
    Draw 22.79%
Chelmsford CityDrawBraintree Town
1-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 9.87%
2-0 @ 9.3%
3-1 @ 6.04%
3-0 @ 5.69%
3-2 @ 3.21%
4-1 @ 2.77%
4-0 @ 2.61%
4-2 @ 1.47%
5-1 @ 1.02%
5-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 55.48%
1-1 @ 10.75%
0-0 @ 5.52%
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.79%
0-1 @ 5.86%
1-2 @ 5.71%
0-2 @ 3.11%
1-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.85%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 21.72%

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