Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 52.33%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 24.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.