Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.
