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National League South | Gameweek 18
Feb 15, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Melbourne Stadium

Chelmsford City
0 - 1
Dorking

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Briggs (30')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Dorking Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawDorking Wanderers
32.95%24.11%42.94%
Both teams to score 60.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.8%42.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.39%64.61%
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06%24.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.43%59.57%
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.14%19.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.04%51.96%
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 32.95%
    Dorking Wanderers 42.94%
    Draw 24.1%
Chelmsford CityDrawDorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 7.72%
1-0 @ 6.88%
2-0 @ 4.78%
3-1 @ 3.57%
3-2 @ 2.89%
3-0 @ 2.21%
4-1 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 32.95%
1-1 @ 11.11%
2-2 @ 6.24%
0-0 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 8.99%
0-1 @ 8.01%
0-2 @ 6.47%
1-3 @ 4.84%
0-3 @ 3.49%
2-3 @ 3.36%
1-4 @ 1.96%
0-4 @ 1.41%
2-4 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 42.94%

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