Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.