Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 65.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 15.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 0-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 2-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.