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National League South | Gameweek 8
Oct 9, 2021 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hempstead
0 - 4
Oxford City

 
FT(HT: 0-2)
Iaciofano (4', 7'), Bancroft (87'), Coyle (90+3')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Oxford City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 65.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 15.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 0-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 2-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawOxford City
15.47%18.61%65.91%
Both teams to score 57.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.52%35.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.47%57.52%
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.12%35.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.34%72.66%
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.95%10.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.87%33.12%
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 15.47%
    Oxford City 65.91%
    Draw 18.61%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawOxford City
2-1 @ 4.35%
1-0 @ 3.69%
2-0 @ 1.89%
3-2 @ 1.71%
3-1 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 15.47%
1-1 @ 8.49%
2-2 @ 5%
0-0 @ 3.6%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 18.61%
1-2 @ 9.76%
0-2 @ 9.52%
0-1 @ 8.28%
1-3 @ 7.48%
0-3 @ 7.29%
1-4 @ 4.3%
0-4 @ 4.19%
2-3 @ 3.83%
2-4 @ 2.2%
1-5 @ 1.97%
0-5 @ 1.93%
2-5 @ 1.01%
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 65.91%

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