Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelmsford City in this match.