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National League South | Gameweek 4
Oct 24, 2020 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Stadium
MU

Chelmsford City
1 - 0
Maidstone

Morgan (49' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Maidstone United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelmsford City in this match.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawMaidstone United
44.4%25.63%29.98%
Both teams to score 53.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.84%50.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.88%72.12%
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46%22.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.89%56.11%
Maidstone United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2%30.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.93%67.07%
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 44.39%
    Maidstone United 29.98%
    Draw 25.63%
Chelmsford CityDrawMaidstone United
1-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 9.08%
2-0 @ 7.71%
3-1 @ 4.51%
3-0 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.68%
4-0 @ 1.43%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 44.39%
1-1 @ 12.18%
0-0 @ 6.94%
2-2 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 8.17%
1-2 @ 7.17%
0-2 @ 4.81%
1-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 29.98%


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