SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesham United | Draw | Weston-super-Mare |
46.41% ( 0.79) | 24.58% ( 0.17) | 29.01% ( -0.97) |
| Both teams to score 56.46% ( -1.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.85% ( -1.3) | 46.15% ( 1.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.55% ( -1.24) | 68.45% ( 1.24) |
| Chesham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.02% ( -0.19) | 19.97% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.85% ( -0.31) | 52.15% ( 0.31) |
| Weston-super-Mare Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.55% ( -1.33) | 29.44% ( 1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.56% ( -1.65) | 65.44% ( 1.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesham United | Draw | Weston-super-Mare |
| 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.91% Total : 46.41% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.34% Total : 29.01% |
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