SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.28%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Weston-super-Mare |
48.82% ( -1.26) | 21.88% ( 0.19) | 29.29% ( 1.07) |
| Both teams to score 66.36% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.78% ( -0.19) | 33.22% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.02% ( -0.21) | 54.97% ( 0.21) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.88% ( -0.47) | 14.12% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.24% ( -0.94) | 41.75% ( 0.94) |
| Weston-super-Mare Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.27% ( 0.56) | 22.73% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.6% ( 0.82) | 56.4% ( -0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Weston-super-Mare |
| 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.07)4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.69% Total : 48.82% | 1-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.88% | 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.15% Total : 29.29% |
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