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National League South | Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Perrys Crabble Stadium

Dover Athletic
2 - 1
Eastbourne

Sterling (29'), Ajayi (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gravata (2')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Eastbourne Borough.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slough 1-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 0-3 Taunton Town
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastbourne Borough win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eastbourne Borough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 2-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Dover AthleticDrawEastbourne Borough
33.09% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06) 24.65% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 42.27% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 58.27% (0.083000000000006 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.32% (0.117 0.12)44.68% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.95% (0.111 0.11)67.05% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.95% (0.021999999999991 0.02)26.05% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.91% (0.027999999999999 0.03)61.09% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Eastbourne Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (0.093999999999994 0.09)21.2% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.91% (0.141 0.14)54.09% (-0.135 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Dover Athletic 33.09%
    Eastbourne Borough 42.27%
    Draw 24.65%
Dover AthleticDrawEastbourne Borough
2-1 @ 7.75% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.43% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.24% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17%
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 33.09%
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.65%
1-2 @ 8.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.64% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 4.62% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.44% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.11% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.33% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 42.27%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Slough 1-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-3 Worthing
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 0-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 4-0 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-0 Taunton Town
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 0-3 Taunton Town
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 1-3 Eastbourne
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 3-1 Hungerford
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 0-2 Worthing
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-0 Eastbourne
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-3 Havant & W'ville
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South


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