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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dover Athletic win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Cheshunt had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dover Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Cheshunt win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dover Athletic | Draw | Cheshunt |
43.49% ( 0.28) | 26.26% ( -0) | 30.26% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 51.75% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.38% ( -0.09) | 52.62% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.73% ( -0.08) | 74.27% ( 0.08) |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.96% ( 0.1) | 24.04% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.69% ( 0.14) | 58.31% ( -0.14) |
| Cheshunt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.13% ( -0.24) | 31.87% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.69% ( -0.28) | 68.31% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dover Athletic | Draw | Cheshunt |
| 1-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.71% Total : 43.49% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.77% Total : 30.26% |
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