Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.