Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 53.9%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 23.08% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chippenham Town would win this match.