Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungerford Town win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungerford Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
