Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungerford Town win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungerford Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
