Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 54.24%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 23.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
