Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Concord Rangers win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 37.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Concord Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Concord Rangers would win this match.