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National League South | Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
Thames Road

Concord Rangers
1 - 0
Hemel Hempstead

Green (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Concord Rangers and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Concord Rangers win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 37.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Concord Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Concord Rangers would win this match.

Result
Concord RangersDrawHemel Hempstead Town
37.95%24.36%37.69%
Both teams to score 60.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.38%42.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.98%65.02%
Concord Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.61%22.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.1%55.9%
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.47%22.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.89%56.11%
Score Analysis
    Concord Rangers 37.95%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 37.69%
    Draw 24.36%
Concord RangersDrawHemel Hempstead Town
2-1 @ 8.42%
1-0 @ 7.55%
2-0 @ 5.65%
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 3.13%
3-0 @ 2.82%
4-1 @ 1.57%
4-2 @ 1.17%
4-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 37.95%
1-1 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 6.27%
0-0 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.36%
1-2 @ 8.38%
0-1 @ 7.52%
0-2 @ 5.6%
1-3 @ 4.17%
2-3 @ 3.12%
0-3 @ 2.78%
1-4 @ 1.55%
2-4 @ 1.16%
0-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 37.69%

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