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National League South | Gameweek 6
Jan 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stonebridge Road
CR

Ebbsfleet
2 - 1
Concord Rangers

Bingham (13'), Mekki (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wall (1')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Concord Rangers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawConcord Rangers
42.38%25.58%32.04%
Both teams to score 54.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.85%49.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.78%71.21%
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.93%23.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.1%56.89%
Concord Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.11%28.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.24%64.76%
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 42.38%
    Concord Rangers 32.04%
    Draw 25.57%
EbbsfleetDrawConcord Rangers
1-0 @ 9.77%
2-1 @ 8.9%
2-0 @ 7.17%
3-1 @ 4.35%
3-0 @ 3.51%
3-2 @ 2.7%
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 42.38%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.66%
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 8.27%
1-2 @ 7.54%
0-2 @ 5.14%
1-3 @ 3.12%
2-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 2.13%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 32.04%

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