Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 56.06%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 22.3% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.