Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
