SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 20.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dartford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dartford | Draw | Welling United |
56.97% ( 2.53) | 22.76% ( -0.85) | 20.27% ( -1.68) |
| Both teams to score 52.89% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.63% ( 1.55) | 46.37% ( -1.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.35% ( 1.44) | 68.65% ( -1.45) |
| Dartford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.96% ( 1.45) | 16.04% ( -1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.6% ( 2.59) | 45.4% ( -2.59) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63% ( -0.79) | 37% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.22% ( -0.79) | 73.78% ( 0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dartford | Draw | Welling United |
| 1-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.31)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.47)3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.35)3-2 @ 3% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.34)4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.28)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.17)5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.28% Total : 56.97% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.42) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.4)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.75% | 0-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.53) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.68% Total : 20.27% |
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