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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 78.09%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 7.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.2%) and 1-0 (10.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (2.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Welling United |
78.09% ( -1.23) | 14.43% ( 0.8) | 7.47% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 44% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.48% ( -2.27) | 38.52% ( 2.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.18% ( -2.45) | 60.81% ( 2.45) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.99% ( -0.77) | 8.01% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.76% ( -1.99) | 28.24% ( 1.99) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.83% ( -0.45) | 52.17% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.89% ( -0.29) | 86.11% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Welling United |
| 2-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.41) 3-0 @ 11.2% ( -0.09)1-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.72)2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.34)4-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.29)5-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.32)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.25)6-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.12)6-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.16% Total : 78.08% | 1-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.44)2-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.57% Total : 14.44% | 0-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.52% Total : 7.47% |
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