Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braintree Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Braintree Town | Draw | Welling United |
46.88% ( 1.46) | 25.28% ( -0.28) | 27.83% ( -1.19) |
Both teams to score 53.36% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.15% ( 0.47) | 49.85% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.15% ( 0.42) | 71.85% ( -0.42) |
Braintree Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.72% ( 0.85) | 21.28% ( -0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.8% ( 1.31) | 54.2% ( -1.31) |
Welling United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.78% ( -0.64) | 32.22% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.29% ( -0.74) | 68.71% ( 0.73) |
Score Analysis |
Braintree Town | Draw | Welling United |
1-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.48% Total : 46.88% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.65% Total : 27.83% |
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