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National League South | Gameweek 15
Oct 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ironmongery Direct Stadium

Braintree
4 - 1
Welling United

Clements (34'), Matthews (41'), Reynolds (72'), Rush (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Azeez (30')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Braintree Town and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eastbourne 1-2 Braintree
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-1 Welling United
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braintree Town would win this match.

Result
Braintree TownDrawWelling United
46.88% (1.463 1.46) 25.28% (-0.276 -0.28) 27.83% (-1.19 -1.19)
Both teams to score 53.36% (0.078999999999994 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.15% (0.472 0.47)49.85% (-0.476 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.15% (0.42 0.42)71.85% (-0.42400000000001 -0.42)
Braintree Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72% (0.85299999999999 0.85)21.28% (-0.857 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.8% (1.307 1.31)54.2% (-1.309 -1.31)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.78% (-0.645 -0.64)32.22% (0.641 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.29% (-0.736 -0.74)68.71% (0.732 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Braintree Town 46.88%
    Welling United 27.83%
    Draw 25.28%
Braintree TownDrawWelling United
1-0 @ 10.6% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.136 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.21% (0.261 0.26)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.19 0.19)
3-0 @ 4.24% (0.239 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.119 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.131 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 46.88%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 6.86% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.76% (-0.292 -0.29)
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.246 -0.25)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 27.83%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-2 Braintree
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 2-1 Worthing
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 3-1 Braintree
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 1-0 St Albans City
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 1-1 Slough
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-0 Braintree
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-1 Welling United
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-3 St Albans City
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 1-1 Welling United
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-1 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-2 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 0-1 Welling United
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League South


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