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National League South | Gameweek 11
Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Park View Road
DA

Welling United
1 - 1
Dover Athletic

Parry (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kandi (81')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Dover Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Welling United 2-2 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 0-2 Dover Athletic
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Welling United win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Welling United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Welling UnitedDrawDover Athletic
43.84% (-0.494 -0.49) 25.51% (0.054000000000002 0.05) 30.65% (0.44 0.44)
Both teams to score 54.34% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.64% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)49.36% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.59% (-0.032 -0.03)71.41% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.54% (-0.246 -0.25)22.46% (0.247 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44% (-0.368 -0.37)55.99% (0.369 0.37)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.08% (0.28700000000001 0.29)29.92% (-0.286 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.97% (0.343 0.34)66.03% (-0.343 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Welling United 43.83%
    Dover Athletic 30.65%
    Draw 25.5%
Welling UnitedDrawDover Athletic
1-0 @ 10.03% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.5% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 43.83%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 8.11% (0.075999999999999 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.31% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.89% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 30.65%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Welling United 2-2 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 0-1 Welling United
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 5-0 Oxford City
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 1-2 Welling United
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 2-3 Welling United
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 0-2 Dover Athletic
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-3 Dartford
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 3-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-0 Dover Athletic
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 4-0 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 4-2 Dover Athletic
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South


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