Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.
